NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between NK Osijek and HNK Hajduk Split on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
NK Osijek face HNK Hajduk Split on 8 November 2026 at Opus Arena, Osijek. HNK Hajduk Split are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in HNL is listed as NK Osijek - HNK Hajduk Split. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
NK Osijek: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 2.67 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +5.
HNK Hajduk Split: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 14 conceded in twelve matches, 2.25 and 1.17 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +15.
Side by side
| Statistic | NK Osijek | HNK Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +5 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDLD | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 11 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 12 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.67 / 1.5 | 2.25 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.92 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.9 | 62.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: NK Osijek 42.9 versus HNK Hajduk Split 62.1, a gap of 19.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans NK Osijek's way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. HNK Hajduk Split is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NK Osijek or HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Hajduk Split, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 37% NK Osijek, 24% the draw and 40% HNK Hajduk Split.
When and where is NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split being played?
8 November 2026 at Opus Arena, Osijek, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between NK Osijek and HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Hajduk Split 0-1 NK Osijek on 21 April 2026.
What is the recent form of NK Osijek and HNK Hajduk Split?
NK Osijek have taken 5 points from their last five (WLDLD), HNK Hajduk Split 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently NK Osijek took a 3-1 win away at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Hajduk Split a 5-0 win at home to HNK Gorica.
How many goals are expected in NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.80 — 2.80 for NK Osijek and 2.00 for HNK Hajduk Split. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.