NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Dinamo Zagreb the pick at 51% for NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dinamo Zagreb travel to NK Varazdin on 8 November 2026 at Stadion Varteks. Dinamo Zagreb are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 13 fixture in HNL is listed as NK Varazdin - Dinamo Zagreb. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
NK Varazdin: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.9 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +5.
Dinamo Zagreb: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 15 conceded in ten matches, 2.0 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +5 | +11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLW | LWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.43 / 1.14 | 2.0 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.29 | 1.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.9 | 57.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 23% | 51% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: NK Varazdin 42.9 versus Dinamo Zagreb 57.8, a gap of 14.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Dinamo Zagreb's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Dinamo Zagreb at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Dinamo Zagreb's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NK Varazdin or Dinamo Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 23% NK Varazdin, 25% the draw and 51% Dinamo Zagreb.
When and where is NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb being played?
8 November 2026 at Stadion Varteks, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between NK Varazdin and Dinamo Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NK Varazdin on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of NK Varazdin and Dinamo Zagreb?
NK Varazdin have taken 5 points from their last five (DDLLW), Dinamo Zagreb 9 from theirs (LWLWW). Most recently NK Varazdin took a 1-1 draw away at HNK Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb a 0-1 defeat away at Rudes.
How many goals are expected in NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.80 for NK Varazdin and 2.20 for Dinamo Zagreb. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.