Brondby vs Aarhus: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Brondby the pick at 47% for Brondby vs Aarhus. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Brondby face Aarhus on 1 November 2026 at Brøndby Stadion, Copenhagen. Brondby are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 13 fixture in Superliga is listed as Brondby - Aarhus. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Brondby: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Aarhus: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 21 conceded in eleven matches, 1.36 and 1.91 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.2 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Brondby | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWD | WWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 7 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 11 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.67 | 1.36 / 1.91 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.2 | 51.2 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 10 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 29% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Brondby none wins, Aarhus one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Brondby 0-2 Aarhus on 10 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Brondby 45.2 versus Aarhus 51.2, a gap of 5.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: Aarhus carry the heavier absentee list, ten players to six.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Brondby's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Brondby at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Brondby's way, especially at Brøndby Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Brondby or Aarhus?
Brondby, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Brondby, 24% the draw and 29% Aarhus.
When and where is Brondby vs Aarhus being played?
1 November 2026 at Brøndby Stadion, Copenhagen, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Brondby and Aarhus?
Brondby 0-2 Aarhus on 10 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Brondby and Aarhus?
Brondby have taken 10 points from their last five (WWLWD), Aarhus 8 from theirs (WWDDL). Most recently Brondby took a 2-1 win away at AB Copenhagen and Aarhus a 2-1 win away at Roskilde.
How many goals are expected in Brondby vs Aarhus?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Brondby and 1.20 for Aarhus. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for Brondby and ten for Aarhus at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.