FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes FC Nordsjaelland the pick at 43% for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Nordsjaelland host FC Midtjylland on 1 November 2026 at Right to Dream Park, Farum. FC Nordsjaelland are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 13 fixture in Superliga is listed as FC Nordsjaelland - FC Midtjylland. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Nordsjaelland: they come in on the back of a win, following four draws before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 11 conceded in eleven matches, 2.27 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
FC Midtjylland: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 2.1 and 1.3 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +11.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Nordsjaelland | FC Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +4 | +11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDDD | WWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 11 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.27 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.82 | 2.2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.0 | 71.1 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 14 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 29% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): FC Nordsjaelland one win, FC Midtjylland none wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: FC Midtjylland 2-2 FC Nordsjaelland on 07 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Nordsjaelland 46.0 versus FC Midtjylland 71.1, a gap of 25.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: FC Midtjylland carry the heavier absentee list, 14 players to six.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans FC Nordsjaelland's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards FC Nordsjaelland at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts FC Nordsjaelland's way, especially at Right to Dream Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Nordsjaelland or FC Midtjylland?
FC Nordsjaelland, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% FC Nordsjaelland, 27% the draw and 29% FC Midtjylland.
When and where is FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland being played?
1 November 2026 at Right to Dream Park, Farum, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Nordsjaelland and FC Midtjylland?
FC Midtjylland 2-2 FC Nordsjaelland on 07 September 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Nordsjaelland and FC Midtjylland?
FC Nordsjaelland have taken 7 points from their last five (WDDDD), FC Midtjylland 10 from theirs (WWLWD). Most recently FC Nordsjaelland took a 1-0 win away at Esbjerg and FC Midtjylland a 2-1 win at home to Odense.
How many goals are expected in FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.00 for FC Nordsjaelland and 2.20 for FC Midtjylland. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for FC Nordsjaelland and 14 for FC Midtjylland at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.