Aarhus vs AC Horsens: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Aarhus the pick at 45% for Aarhus vs AC Horsens. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
AC Horsens travel to Aarhus on 8 November 2026 at New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus. Aarhus are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 14 fixture in Superliga is listed as Aarhus - AC Horsens. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Aarhus: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 23 conceded in twelve matches, 1.25 and 1.92 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -4.
AC Horsens: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Aarhus | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDD | LLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 12 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.25 / 1.92 | 1.71 / 1.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.08 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.7 | 45.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Aarhus 50.7 versus AC Horsens 45.5, a gap of 5.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Aarhus' way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Aarhus at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Aarhus' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Aarhus's way, especially at New Vejlby Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Aarhus or AC Horsens?
Aarhus, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Aarhus, 26% the draw and 29% AC Horsens.
When and where is Aarhus vs AC Horsens being played?
8 November 2026 at New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Aarhus and AC Horsens met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Aarhus and AC Horsens?
Aarhus have taken 8 points from their last five (LWWDD), AC Horsens 5 from theirs (LLWDD). Most recently Aarhus took a 0-2 defeat away at Brondby and AC Horsens a 0-1 defeat away at Viborg.
How many goals are expected in Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 0.80 for Aarhus and 2.00 for AC Horsens. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.