Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 52% for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to Sport Boys on 13 September 2026 at Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 52%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This clausura 9 fixture in Primera División is listed as Sport Boys - Deportivo Garcilaso. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sport Boys: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 20 conceded in 17 matches, 0.88 and 1.18 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +2.
Deportivo Garcilaso: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 21 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.3 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sport Boys | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +2 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWD | WWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 11 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 17 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.88 / 1.18 | 1.11 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.12 | 1.37 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.2 | 71.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 20% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sport Boys 52.2 versus Deportivo Garcilaso 71.3, a gap of 19.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Sport Boys' way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sport Boys or Deportivo Garcilaso?
Neither side. Our model splits it 28% Sport Boys, 52% the draw and 20% Deportivo Garcilaso, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso being played?
13 September 2026 at Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso?
Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 Sport Boys on 04 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso?
Sport Boys have taken 8 points from their last five (LWDWD), Deportivo Garcilaso 13 from theirs (WWWDW). Most recently Sport Boys took a 1-2 defeat away at Sport Huancayo and Deportivo Garcilaso a 4-2 win at home to Atletico Grau.
How many goals are expected in Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 0.60 for Sport Boys and 2.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.