Atletico Grau vs ADT: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 51% for Atletico Grau vs ADT. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
ADT travel to Atletico Grau on 23 October 2026 at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 51%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This clausura 13 fixture in Primera División is listed as Atletico Grau - ADT. Kick-off is 20:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Atletico Grau: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 20 conceded in 21 matches, 0.9 and 0.95 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.6 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -7.
ADT: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 26 conceded in 20 matches, 1.1 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Atletico Grau | ADT |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -7 | -14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWL | LDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 11 | 3 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.9 / 0.95 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.24 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.6 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 24% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Atletico Grau 36.6 versus ADT 34.8, a gap of 1.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 7% and both teams to score at 28%.
- First goal: Leans Atletico Grau's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atletico Grau or ADT?
Neither side. Our model splits it 25% Atletico Grau, 51% the draw and 24% ADT, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Atletico Grau vs ADT being played?
23 October 2026 at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura, kick-off 20:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Atletico Grau and ADT?
ADT 1-0 Atletico Grau on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Atletico Grau and ADT?
Atletico Grau have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLWL), ADT 4 from theirs (LDLLW). Most recently Atletico Grau took a 1-3 defeat away at Alianza Lima and ADT a 1-2 defeat away at Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs ADT?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.00 for Atletico Grau and 0.60 for ADT. It rates over 2.5 goals at 7%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 28%, so its call is no.