Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Sport Huancayo the pick at 58% for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Sport Huancayo face Alianza Atletico on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo. Sport Huancayo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This clausura 13 fixture in Primera División is listed as Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atletico. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sport Huancayo: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 33 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -5.
Alianza Atletico: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 42 conceded in 28 matches, 1.11 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sport Huancayo | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | LWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 9 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 28 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 1.57 | 1.11 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.24 | 1.07 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 73.8 | 56.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Sport Huancayo 73.8 versus Alianza Atletico 56.0, a gap of 17.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Sport Huancayo's way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Sport Huancayo at 58%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sport Huancayo's way, especially at Estadio Huancayo.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sport Huancayo or Alianza Atletico?
Sport Huancayo, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% Sport Huancayo, 25% the draw and 17% Alianza Atletico.
When and where is Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sport Huancayo and Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Atletico 4-1 Sport Huancayo on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sport Huancayo and Alianza Atletico?
Sport Huancayo have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Alianza Atletico 9 from theirs (LWWLW). Most recently Sport Huancayo took a 2-1 win at home to Cusco and Alianza Atletico a 1-4 defeat at home to Universitario.
How many goals are expected in Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.40 for Sport Huancayo and 1.40 for Alianza Atletico. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.