Universitario vs Sport Boys — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Universitario the pick at 63% for Universitario vs Sport Boys. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Universitario face Sport Boys on 5 November 2026 at Estadio Monumental, Lima. Universitario are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This clausura 14 fixture in Primera División is listed as Universitario - Sport Boys. Kick-off is 01:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Universitario: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 27 conceded in 28 matches, 1.46 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +18.
Sport Boys: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 25 conceded in 22 matches, 1.05 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Universitario | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 11th |
| Goal difference | +18 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDLW | WLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 8 | 8 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 28 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.46 / 0.96 | 1.05 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.8 | 48.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Universitario 62.8 versus Sport Boys 48.6, a gap of 14.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Universitario's way at 68%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Universitario at 63%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Universitario's way, especially at Estadio Monumental.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Universitario or Sport Boys?
Universitario, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% Universitario, 21% the draw and 17% Sport Boys.
When and where is Universitario vs Sport Boys being played?
5 November 2026 at Estadio Monumental, Lima, kick-off 01:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Universitario and Sport Boys?
Sport Boys 0-0 Universitario on 12 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Universitario and Sport Boys?
Universitario have taken 10 points from their last five (WWDLW), Sport Boys 6 from theirs (WLLLW). Most recently Universitario took a 3-0 win at home to Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys a 4-2 win at home to FC Cajamarca.
How many goals are expected in Universitario vs Sport Boys?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.40 for Universitario and 1.60 for Sport Boys. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.