Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Comerciantes Unidos the pick at 48% for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Comerciantes Unidos face ADT on 3 November 2026 at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo. Comerciantes Unidos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This clausura 15 fixture in Primera División is listed as Comerciantes Unidos - ADT. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Comerciantes Unidos: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 32 conceded in 22 matches, 1.32 and 1.45 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -3.
ADT: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 27 conceded in 22 matches, 1.14 and 1.23 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Comerciantes Unidos | ADT |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLDL | WDLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 9 | 4 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.32 / 1.45 | 1.14 / 1.23 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 48.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Comerciantes Unidos 40.9 versus ADT 48.7, a gap of 7.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Comerciantes Unidos' way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Comerciantes Unidos at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Comerciantes Unidos's way, especially at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Comerciantes Unidos or ADT?
Comerciantes Unidos, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Comerciantes Unidos, 24% the draw and 28% ADT.
When and where is Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT being played?
3 November 2026 at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Comerciantes Unidos and ADT?
ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Comerciantes Unidos and ADT?
Comerciantes Unidos have taken 5 points from their last five (DWLDL), ADT 5 from theirs (WDLDL). Most recently Comerciantes Unidos took a 1-1 draw away at FBC Melgar and ADT a 2-0 win at home to UCV Moquegua.
How many goals are expected in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.60 for Comerciantes Unidos and 0.80 for ADT. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.