Cusco vs Sport Boys match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Cusco the pick at 65% for Cusco vs Sport Boys. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cusco host Sport Boys on 1 November 2026 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. Cusco are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 65%. This clausura 15 fixture in Primera División is listed as Cusco - Sport Boys. Kick-off is 18:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cusco: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 40 conceded in 28 matches, 1.29 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Sport Boys: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 25 conceded in 22 matches, 1.05 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cusco | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLW | WLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 8 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 28 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 1.43 | 1.05 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.8 | 48.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 65% | 16% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cusco 55.8 versus Sport Boys 48.6, a gap of 7.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Cusco's way at 69%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Cusco at 65%, a gap of 46 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cusco's way, especially at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cusco or Sport Boys?
Cusco, with an implied win probability of roughly 65%. The full split is 65% Cusco, 19% the draw and 16% Sport Boys.
When and where is Cusco vs Sport Boys being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cusco and Sport Boys?
Sport Boys 1-0 Cusco on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Cusco and Sport Boys?
Cusco have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLLW), Sport Boys 6 from theirs (WLLLW). Most recently Cusco took a 1-0 win away at Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Sport Boys a 4-2 win at home to FC Cajamarca.
How many goals are expected in Cusco vs Sport Boys?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Cusco and 1.60 for Sport Boys. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.