Atletico Grau vs Universitario: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Universitario the pick at 51% for Atletico Grau vs Universitario. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Atletico Grau host Universitario on 1 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura. Universitario are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This clausura 15 fixture in Primera División is listed as Atletico Grau - Universitario. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Atletico Grau: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 27 conceded in 24 matches, 0.88 and 1.12 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -10.
Universitario: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 27 conceded in 28 matches, 1.46 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +18.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Atletico Grau | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -10 | +18 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLDL | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 10 | 11 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 28 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.88 / 1.12 | 1.46 / 0.96 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.12 | 1.64 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.2 | 62.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 27% | 51% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Atletico Grau 29.2 versus Universitario 62.8, a gap of 33.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Universitario's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Universitario at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Universitario's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atletico Grau or Universitario?
Universitario, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 27% Atletico Grau, 23% the draw and 51% Universitario.
When and where is Atletico Grau vs Universitario being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Atletico Grau and Universitario?
Universitario 0-1 Atletico Grau on 16 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Atletico Grau and Universitario?
Atletico Grau have taken 2 points from their last five (LDLDL), Universitario 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Atletico Grau took a 0-3 defeat away at Cienciano and Universitario a 3-0 win at home to Juan Pablo II College.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs Universitario?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.40 for Atletico Grau and 2.40 for Universitario. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.