UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes UCV Moquegua the pick at 39% for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
UCV Moquegua host Club Deportivo Los Chankas on 1 November 2026 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. UCV Moquegua are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This clausura 15 fixture in Primera División is listed as UCV Moquegua - Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
UCV Moquegua: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 30 conceded in 23 matches, 0.91 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -21.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 39 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.7 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | UCV Moquegua | Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -21 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLL | LLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 9 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.91 / 1.3 | 1.35 / 1.7 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.8 | 38.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 34% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: UCV Moquegua 29.8 versus Club Deportivo Los Chankas 38.7, a gap of 8.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans UCV Moquegua's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards UCV Moquegua at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts UCV Moquegua's way, especially at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: UCV Moquegua or Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
UCV Moquegua, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% UCV Moquegua, 27% the draw and 34% Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
When and where is UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 UCV Moquegua on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
UCV Moquegua have taken 3 points from their last five (LLWLL), Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5 from theirs (LLWDD). Most recently UCV Moquegua took a 0-2 defeat away at ADT and Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 0-1 defeat at home to Cusco.
How many goals are expected in UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.40 for UCV Moquegua and 1.00 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.