Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Sport Huancayo the pick at 54% for Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FBC Melgar travel to Sport Huancayo on 2 November 2026 at Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo. Sport Huancayo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This clausura 15 fixture in Primera División is listed as Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sport Huancayo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 36 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -4.
FBC Melgar: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 30 conceded in 26 matches, 1.5 and 1.15 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +19.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sport Huancayo | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -4 | +19 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | DWWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 26 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.35 / 1.57 | 1.5 / 1.15 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.26 | 1.65 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 64.0 | 59.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Sport Huancayo 64.0 versus FBC Melgar 59.8, a gap of 4.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Sport Huancayo's way at 63%.
The call
The model tilts to Sport Huancayo at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sport Huancayo's way, especially at Estadio Huancayo.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sport Huancayo or FBC Melgar?
Sport Huancayo, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Sport Huancayo, 23% the draw and 24% FBC Melgar.
When and where is Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar being played?
2 November 2026 at Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sport Huancayo and FBC Melgar?
FBC Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo on 16 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sport Huancayo and FBC Melgar?
Sport Huancayo have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), FBC Melgar 9 from theirs (DWWDD). Most recently Sport Huancayo took a 0-2 defeat away at Juan Pablo II College and FBC Melgar a 1-1 draw at home to Comerciantes Unidos.
How many goals are expected in Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for Sport Huancayo and 1.40 for FBC Melgar. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.