Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Sporting Cristal the pick at 60% for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sporting Cristal face FC Cajamarca on 2 November 2026 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. Sporting Cristal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This clausura 15 fixture in Primera División is listed as Sporting Cristal - FC Cajamarca. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sporting Cristal: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (58 scored and 55 conceded in 37 matches, 1.57 and 1.49 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +10.
FC Cajamarca: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 43 conceded in 22 matches, 1.45 and 1.95 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -16.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sporting Cristal | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +10 | -16 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWW | LLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 7 | 4 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 37 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.57 / 1.49 | 1.45 / 1.95 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.5 | 24.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 19% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Sporting Cristal 67.5 versus FC Cajamarca 24.3, a gap of 43.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Sporting Cristal's way at 66%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Sporting Cristal at 60%, a gap of 38 percentage points to the next outcome. Sporting Cristal's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sporting Cristal's way, especially at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sporting Cristal or FC Cajamarca?
Sporting Cristal, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Sporting Cristal, 22% the draw and 19% FC Cajamarca.
When and where is Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca being played?
2 November 2026 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca?
FC Cajamarca 3-1 Sporting Cristal on 15 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sporting Cristal and FC Cajamarca?
Sporting Cristal have taken 12 points from their last five (WLWWW), FC Cajamarca 1 from theirs (LLLDL). Most recently Sporting Cristal took a 3-2 win at home to Alianza Lima and FC Cajamarca a 1-3 defeat at home to UTC Cajamarca.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 3.00 for Sporting Cristal and 1.40 for FC Cajamarca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.