ADT vs Sporting Cristal: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between ADT and Sporting Cristal on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Sporting Cristal travel to ADT on 7 November 2026. ADT are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This clausura 16 fixture in Primera División is listed as ADT - Sporting Cristal. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
ADT: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 27 conceded in 22 matches, 1.14 and 1.23 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -12.
Sporting Cristal: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (63 scored and 55 conceded in 38 matches, 1.66 and 1.45 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +15.
Side by side
| Statistic | ADT | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -12 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLDL | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 14 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 38 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 1.23 | 1.66 / 1.45 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.09 | 1.37 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.7 | 68.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: ADT 48.7 versus Sporting Cristal 68.8, a gap of 20.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans ADT's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. ADT is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: ADT or Sporting Cristal?
ADT, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% ADT, 23% the draw and 36% Sporting Cristal.
When and where is ADT vs Sporting Cristal being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between ADT and Sporting Cristal?
Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADT on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of ADT and Sporting Cristal?
ADT have taken 5 points from their last five (WDLDL), Sporting Cristal 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently ADT took a 2-0 win at home to UCV Moquegua and Sporting Cristal a 5-0 win at home to FC Cajamarca.
How many goals are expected in ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 0.80 for ADT and 3.00 for Sporting Cristal. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.