FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes FBC Melgar the pick at 61% for FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FBC Melgar host Juan Pablo II College on 7 November 2026. FBC Melgar are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This clausura 16 fixture in Primera División is listed as FBC Melgar - Juan Pablo II College. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FBC Melgar: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 32 conceded in 27 matches, 1.44 and 1.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +17.
Juan Pablo II College: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 47 conceded in 23 matches, 1.13 and 2.04 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | FBC Melgar | Juan Pablo II College |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 12th |
| Goal difference | +17 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWD | LWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 27 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.44 / 1.19 | 1.13 / 2.04 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.59 | 0.91 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.9 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 61% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FBC Melgar 55.9 versus Juan Pablo II College 45.8, a gap of 10.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans FBC Melgar's way at 67%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards FBC Melgar at 61%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FBC Melgar or Juan Pablo II College?
FBC Melgar, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 61% FBC Melgar, 22% the draw and 17% Juan Pablo II College.
When and where is FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FBC Melgar and Juan Pablo II College?
Juan Pablo II College 1-1 FBC Melgar on 22 May 2026.
What is the recent form of FBC Melgar and Juan Pablo II College?
FBC Melgar have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWWD), Juan Pablo II College 7 from theirs (LWLWD). Most recently FBC Melgar took a 0-2 defeat away at Sport Huancayo and Juan Pablo II College a 0-1 defeat away at Alianza Atletico.
How many goals are expected in FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.40 for FBC Melgar and 1.00 for Juan Pablo II College. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.