FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes FC Cajamarca the pick at 41% for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Cajamarca face Alianza Atletico on 7 November 2026 at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca. FC Cajamarca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This clausura 16 fixture in Primera División is listed as FC Cajamarca - Alianza Atletico. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC Cajamarca: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 48 conceded in 23 matches, 1.39 and 2.09 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -21.
Alianza Atletico: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 48 conceded in 31 matches, 1.16 and 1.55 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -21 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | WWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 13 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.39 / 2.09 | 1.16 / 1.55 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.87 | 1.16 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.1 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Cajamarca 23.1 versus Alianza Atletico 55.8, a gap of 32.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans FC Cajamarca's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards FC Cajamarca at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Alianza Atletico's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Cajamarca's way, especially at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Cajamarca or Alianza Atletico?
FC Cajamarca, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% FC Cajamarca, 24% the draw and 35% Alianza Atletico.
When and where is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico being played?
7 November 2026 at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Cajamarca and Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Atletico 1-1 FC Cajamarca on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Cajamarca and Alianza Atletico?
FC Cajamarca have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Alianza Atletico 9 from theirs (WWLLW). Most recently FC Cajamarca took a 0-5 defeat away at Sporting Cristal and Alianza Atletico a 1-0 win at home to Juan Pablo II College.
How many goals are expected in FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for FC Cajamarca and 1.40 for Alianza Atletico. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.