Atletico Grau vs Cusco match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Cusco the pick at 47% for Atletico Grau vs Cusco. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cusco travel to Atletico Grau on 6 November 2026 at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura. Cusco are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This clausura 16 fixture in Primera División is listed as Atletico Grau - Cusco. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Atletico Grau: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 30 conceded in 25 matches, 0.88 and 1.2 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.7 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -12.
Cusco: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 41 conceded in 29 matches, 1.24 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Atletico Grau | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -12 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLD | LWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 10 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 25 | 29 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.88 / 1.2 | 1.24 / 1.41 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.08 | 1.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 28.7 | 45.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 47% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Atletico Grau 28.7 versus Cusco 45.5, a gap of 16.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Cusco's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Cusco at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cusco's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atletico Grau or Cusco?
Cusco, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 29% Atletico Grau, 24% the draw and 47% Cusco.
When and where is Atletico Grau vs Cusco being played?
6 November 2026 at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Atletico Grau and Cusco?
Cusco 1-0 Atletico Grau on 23 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Atletico Grau and Cusco?
Atletico Grau have taken 2 points from their last five (LLDLD), Cusco 6 from theirs (LWWLL). Most recently Atletico Grau took a 1-3 defeat at home to Universitario and Cusco a 0-1 defeat at home to Sport Boys.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs Cusco?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Atletico Grau and 1.20 for Cusco. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.