Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Alianza Lima the pick at 52% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Alianza Lima travel to Club Deportivo Los Chankas on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas. Alianza Lima are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This clausura 16 fixture in Primera División is listed as Club Deportivo Los Chankas - Alianza Lima. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Club Deportivo Los Chankas: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 39 conceded in 24 matches, 1.29 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -12.
Alianza Lima: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 22 conceded in 27 matches, 1.7 and 0.81 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +29.
Side by side
| Statistic | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -12 | +29 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLWD | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 6 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 1.62 | 1.7 / 0.81 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.54 | 2.04 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.7 | 72.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 52% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 38.7 versus Alianza Lima 72.2, a gap of 33.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Alianza Lima's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Alianza Lima at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Alianza Lima's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Club Deportivo Los Chankas or Alianza Lima?
Alianza Lima, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 25% Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 23% the draw and 52% Alianza Lima.
When and where is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Alianza Lima?
Alianza Lima 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Alianza Lima?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas have taken 5 points from their last five (DLLWD), Alianza Lima 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently Club Deportivo Los Chankas took a 0-0 draw away at UCV Moquegua and Alianza Lima a 1-0 win at home to Cienciano.
How many goals are expected in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.40 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 1.60 for Alianza Lima. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.