Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Sport Boys the pick at 51% for Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sport Boys host UTC Cajamarca on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao. Sport Boys are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This clausura 16 fixture in Primera División is listed as Sport Boys - UTC Cajamarca. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sport Boys: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 25 conceded in 23 matches, 1.04 and 1.09 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +2.
UTC Cajamarca: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 42 conceded in 25 matches, 1.2 and 1.68 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.0 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -20.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sport Boys | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 18th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -20 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLL | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.04 / 1.09 | 1.2 / 1.68 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.39 | 0.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 30.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sport Boys 48.8 versus UTC Cajamarca 30.0, a gap of 18.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Sport Boys' way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Sport Boys at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Sport Boys' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sport Boys's way, especially at Estadio Miguel Grau.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sport Boys or UTC Cajamarca?
Sport Boys, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Sport Boys, 28% the draw and 22% UTC Cajamarca.
When and where is Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sport Boys and UTC Cajamarca?
UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Sport Boys on 23 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sport Boys and UTC Cajamarca?
Sport Boys have taken 6 points from their last five (WWLLL), UTC Cajamarca 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Sport Boys took a 1-0 win away at Cusco and UTC Cajamarca a 2-3 defeat at home to Deportivo Garcilaso.
How many goals are expected in Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for Sport Boys and 1.40 for UTC Cajamarca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.