UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes UTC Cajamarca the pick at 44% for UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
UTC Cajamarca host Club Deportivo Los Chankas on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca. UTC Cajamarca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera División is listed as UTC Cajamarca - Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
UTC Cajamarca: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 42 conceded in 26 matches, 1.15 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -20.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 40 conceded in 25 matches, 1.28 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | UTC Cajamarca | Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -20 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWLL | DDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.15 / 1.62 | 1.28 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.88 | 1.52 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.3 | 38.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: UTC Cajamarca 33.3 versus Club Deportivo Los Chankas 38.7, a gap of 5.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans UTC Cajamarca's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards UTC Cajamarca at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts UTC Cajamarca's way, especially at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: UTC Cajamarca or Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
UTC Cajamarca, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% UTC Cajamarca, 25% the draw and 31% Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
When and where is UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between UTC Cajamarca and Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-2 UTC Cajamarca on 31 May 2026.
What is the recent form of UTC Cajamarca and Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
UTC Cajamarca have taken 4 points from their last five (DLWLL), Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5 from theirs (DDLLW). Most recently UTC Cajamarca took a 0-0 draw away at Sport Boys and Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 1-1 draw at home to Alianza Lima.
How many goals are expected in UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.20 for UTC Cajamarca and 0.60 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.