Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Comerciantes Unidos the pick at 49% for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Comerciantes Unidos face Sport Boys on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo. Comerciantes Unidos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera División is listed as Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Boys. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Comerciantes Unidos: they come in on three successive draws, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 34 conceded in 24 matches, 1.29 and 1.42 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.2 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -3.
Sport Boys: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 27 conceded in 25 matches, 1.04 and 1.08 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Comerciantes Unidos | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDDWL | DDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 1.42 | 1.04 / 1.08 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.08 | 1.36 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.2 | 52.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Comerciantes Unidos 44.2 versus Sport Boys 52.2, a gap of 7.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Comerciantes Unidos' way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Comerciantes Unidos at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Sport Boys' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Comerciantes Unidos's way, especially at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Comerciantes Unidos or Sport Boys?
Comerciantes Unidos, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Comerciantes Unidos, 23% the draw and 28% Sport Boys.
When and where is Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Comerciantes Unidos and Sport Boys?
Sport Boys 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos on 30 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Comerciantes Unidos and Sport Boys?
Comerciantes Unidos have taken 6 points from their last five (DDDWL), Sport Boys 8 from theirs (DDWWL). Most recently Comerciantes Unidos took a 0-0 draw away at Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Boys a 0-0 draw at home to UTC Cajamarca.
How many goals are expected in Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.60 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.60 for Sport Boys. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.