Cusco vs ADT match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Cusco the pick at 52% for Cusco vs ADT. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cusco host ADT on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. Cusco are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera División is listed as Cusco - ADT. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cusco: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 44 conceded in 30 matches, 1.2 and 1.47 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -1.
ADT: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 30 conceded in 24 matches, 1.17 and 1.25 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.9 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cusco | ADT |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWL | DDWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 30 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.2 / 1.47 | 1.17 / 1.25 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.08 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.8 | 48.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 25% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Cusco 44.8 versus ADT 48.9, a gap of 4.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Cusco's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to Cusco at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. ADT's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cusco's way, especially at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cusco or ADT?
Cusco, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Cusco, 23% the draw and 25% ADT.
When and where is Cusco vs ADT being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cusco and ADT?
ADT 1-2 Cusco on 30 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Cusco and ADT?
Cusco have taken 6 points from their last five (LLWWL), ADT 6 from theirs (DDWDL). Most recently Cusco took a 0-3 defeat away at Atletico Grau and ADT a 1-1 draw at home to Sporting Cristal.
How many goals are expected in Cusco vs ADT?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.80 for Cusco and 1.20 for ADT. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.