Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Deportivo Garcilaso the pick at 53% for Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to Juan Pablo II College on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape. Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera División is listed as Juan Pablo II College - Deportivo Garcilaso. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Juan Pablo II College: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 49 conceded in 24 matches, 1.12 and 2.04 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -11.
Deportivo Garcilaso: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 31 conceded in 28 matches, 1.39 and 1.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +15.
Side by side
| Statistic | Juan Pablo II College | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -11 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLW | DWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 6 | 11 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 28 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.12 / 2.04 | 1.39 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.88 | 1.61 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.2 | 52.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 24% | 53% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Juan Pablo II College 42.2 versus Deportivo Garcilaso 52.1, a gap of 9.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Garcilaso's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Deportivo Garcilaso at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Deportivo Garcilaso's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Juan Pablo II College or Deportivo Garcilaso?
Deportivo Garcilaso, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 24% Juan Pablo II College, 23% the draw and 53% Deportivo Garcilaso.
When and where is Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Juan Pablo II College and Deportivo Garcilaso?
Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Juan Pablo II College on 30 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Juan Pablo II College and Deportivo Garcilaso?
Juan Pablo II College have taken 6 points from their last five (LLWLW), Deportivo Garcilaso 7 from theirs (DWLWL). Most recently Juan Pablo II College took a 1-2 defeat away at FBC Melgar and Deportivo Garcilaso a 0-0 draw at home to Comerciantes Unidos.
How many goals are expected in Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.00 for Juan Pablo II College and 1.80 for Deportivo Garcilaso. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.