Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Sporting Cristal the pick at 53% for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sporting Cristal host Cienciano on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. Sporting Cristal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera División is listed as Sporting Cristal - Cienciano. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sporting Cristal: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (64 scored and 56 conceded in 39 matches, 1.64 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.5 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +14.
Cienciano: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (59 scored and 41 conceded in 35 matches, 1.69 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.0 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sporting Cristal | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +14 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLW | LLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 8 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 39 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.64 / 1.44 | 1.69 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.36 | 1.69 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.5 | 47.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sporting Cristal 58.5 versus Cienciano 47.0, a gap of 11.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Sporting Cristal's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Sporting Cristal at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Sporting Cristal's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sporting Cristal's way, especially at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sporting Cristal or Cienciano?
Sporting Cristal, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Sporting Cristal, 25% the draw and 23% Cienciano.
When and where is Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sporting Cristal and Cienciano?
Cienciano 3-2 Sporting Cristal on 31 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sporting Cristal and Cienciano?
Sporting Cristal have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWLW), Cienciano 6 from theirs (LLWLW). Most recently Sporting Cristal took a 1-1 draw away at ADT and Cienciano a 1-2 defeat at home to Sport Huancayo.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.80 for Sporting Cristal and 1.20 for Cienciano. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.