Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Deportivo Pereira the pick at 66% for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Deportivo Pereira face Santa Fe on 15 September 2026 at Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal. Deportivo Pereira are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 66%. This clausura 3 fixture in Primera A is listed as Deportivo Pereira - Santa Fe. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Deportivo Pereira: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 26 conceded in 18 matches, 0.83 and 1.44 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -17.
Santa Fe: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, three draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 27 conceded in 27 matches, 1.26 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Deportivo Pereira | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -17 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | DDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 9 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.83 / 1.44 | 1.26 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.89 | 1.3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.8 | 56.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 66% | 6% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 1) | 1 | 0 |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Deportivo Pereira 40.8 versus Santa Fe 56.8, a gap of 16.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.65, over 2.5 goals at 15% and both teams to score at 37%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Pereira's way at 77%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Deportivo Pereira at 66%, a gap of 38 percentage points to the next outcome. Santa Fe's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Deportivo Pereira's way, especially at Santiago de las Atalayas.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo Pereira or Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pereira, with an implied win probability of roughly 66%. The full split is 66% Deportivo Pereira, 28% the draw and 6% Santa Fe.
When and where is Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe being played?
15 September 2026 at Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe?
Santa Fe 1-2 Deportivo Pereira on 28 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pereira have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Santa Fe 6 from theirs (DDWD). Most recently Deportivo Pereira took a 1-4 defeat away at America de Cali and Santa Fe a 0-0 draw at home to Vasco DA Gama.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.65 — 1.25 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.40 for Santa Fe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 15%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 37%, so its call is no.