America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes America de Cali the pick at 67% for America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
America de Cali face Fortaleza FC on 29 October 2026 at Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali. America de Cali are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 67%. This clausura 5 fixture in Primera A is listed as America de Cali - Fortaleza FC. Kick-off is 23:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
America de Cali: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 29 conceded in 35 matches, 1.4 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Fortaleza FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four draws before that. That is no wins, four draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 35 conceded in 24 matches, 1.17 and 1.46 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -5.
Side by side
| Statistic | America de Cali | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 15th |
| Goal difference | +10 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDLW | LDDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 5 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 35 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.4 / 0.83 | 1.17 / 1.46 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.77 | 1.08 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.8 | 33.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 67% | 14% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: America de Cali 60.8 versus Fortaleza FC 33.8, a gap of 27.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans America de Cali's way at 71%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards America de Cali at 67%, a gap of 47 percentage points to the next outcome. America de Cali's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts America de Cali's way, especially at Olímpico Pascual Guerrero.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: America de Cali or Fortaleza FC?
America de Cali, with an implied win probability of roughly 67%. The full split is 67% America de Cali, 20% the draw and 14% Fortaleza FC.
When and where is America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC being played?
29 October 2026 at Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali, kick-off 23:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between America de Cali and Fortaleza FC?
Fortaleza FC 1-2 America de Cali on 23 April 2026.
What is the recent form of America de Cali and Fortaleza FC?
America de Cali have taken 10 points from their last five (WWDLW), Fortaleza FC 4 from theirs (LDDDD). Most recently America de Cali took a 3-1 win at home to Cucuta and Fortaleza FC a 1-2 defeat away at Internacional de Bogota.
How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.60 for America de Cali and 1.60 for Fortaleza FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.