Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali match summary and prediction — Primera A
There is barely anything between Llaneros and Deportivo Cali on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Deportivo Cali travel to Llaneros on 21 October 2026 at Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 45%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This clausura 9 fixture in Primera A is listed as Llaneros - Deportivo Cali. Kick-off is 23:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Llaneros: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 25 conceded in 22 matches, 0.91 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -3.
Deportivo Cali: they come in on the back of a draw, following four wins before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 17 conceded in 20 matches, 1.1 and 0.85 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 69.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Llaneros | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | DWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 9 | 9 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.91 / 1.14 | 1.1 / 0.85 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.09 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.2 | 69.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 14% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Llaneros 34.2 versus Deportivo Cali 69.3, a gap of 35.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 8% and both teams to score at 31%.
- First goal: Leans Llaneros' way at 68%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 45%, but the three results sit close to even. Deportivo Cali's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Llaneros or Deportivo Cali?
Neither side. Our model splits it 41% Llaneros, 45% the draw and 14% Deportivo Cali, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali being played?
21 October 2026 at Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio, kick-off 23:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Llaneros and Deportivo Cali?
Deportivo Cali 1-1 Llaneros on 12 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Llaneros and Deportivo Cali?
Llaneros have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Deportivo Cali 13 from theirs (DWWWW). Most recently Llaneros took a 1-4 defeat away at Internacional de Bogota and Deportivo Cali a 0-0 draw away at Deportivo Pereira.
How many goals are expected in Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Llaneros and 1.00 for Deportivo Cali. It rates over 2.5 goals at 8%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 31%, so its call is no.