Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Deportivo Pereira the pick at 77% for Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Deportivo Pereira face Bucaramanga on 13 September 2026 at Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal. Deportivo Pereira are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 77%. This clausura 10 fixture in Primera A is listed as Deportivo Pereira - Bucaramanga. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Deportivo Pereira: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 26 conceded in 18 matches, 0.83 and 1.44 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -17.
Bucaramanga: they come in on two successive draws, following one win before that. That is one win, two draws and no defeats from the last three, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 20 conceded in 18 matches, 1.11 and 1.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Deportivo Pereira | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -17 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | DDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 9 | 4 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.83 / 1.44 | 1.11 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.8 | 49.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 77% | 3% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Deportivo Pereira 40.8 versus Bucaramanga 49.8, a gap of 9.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.75, over 2.5 goals at 12% and both teams to score at 28%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Pereira's way at 80%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Deportivo Pereira at 77%, a gap of 56 percentage points to the next outcome. Bucaramanga's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Deportivo Pereira's way, especially at Santiago de las Atalayas.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo Pereira or Bucaramanga?
Deportivo Pereira, with an implied win probability of roughly 77%. The full split is 77% Deportivo Pereira, 21% the draw and 3% Bucaramanga.
When and where is Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga being played?
13 September 2026 at Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Deportivo Pereira and Bucaramanga?
Bucaramanga 2-0 Deportivo Pereira on 10 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Deportivo Pereira and Bucaramanga?
Deportivo Pereira have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Bucaramanga 5 from theirs (DDW). Most recently Deportivo Pereira took a 1-4 defeat away at America de Cali and Bucaramanga a 1-1 draw away at Deportivo Cali.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.75 — 1.25 for Deportivo Pereira and 0.50 for Bucaramanga. It rates over 2.5 goals at 12%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 28%, so its call is no.