America de Cali vs Cucuta: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes America de Cali the pick at 62% for America de Cali vs Cucuta. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
America de Cali face Cucuta on 24 October 2026. America de Cali are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This clausura 16 fixture in Primera A is listed as America de Cali - Cucuta. Kick-off is 23:05 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
America de Cali: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 28 conceded in 34 matches, 1.35 and 0.82 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.7 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +16.
Cucuta: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 41 conceded in 23 matches, 1.09 and 1.78 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | America de Cali | Cucuta |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 8th |
| Goal difference | +16 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 34 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.35 / 0.82 | 1.09 / 1.78 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.74 | 0.91 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.7 | 64.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 14% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: America de Cali 55.7 versus Cucuta 64.5, a gap of 8.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans America de Cali's way at 68%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards America de Cali at 62%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: America de Cali or Cucuta?
America de Cali, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% America de Cali, 24% the draw and 14% Cucuta.
When and where is America de Cali vs Cucuta being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 23:05 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between America de Cali and Cucuta?
Cucuta 2-0 America de Cali on 05 April 2026.
What is the recent form of America de Cali and Cucuta?
America de Cali have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Cucuta 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently America de Cali took a 4-0 win away at Barranquilla and Cucuta a 1-0 win at home to Atletico Nacional.
How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Cucuta?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for America de Cali and 1.00 for Cucuta. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.