Cucuta vs Santa Fe: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Santa Fe the pick at 40% for Cucuta vs Santa Fe. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cucuta face Santa Fe on 4 November 2026 at Estadio General Santander. Santa Fe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera A is listed as Cucuta - Santa Fe. Kick-off is 23:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cucuta: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 46 conceded in 25 matches, 1.04 and 1.84 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.8 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -13.
Santa Fe: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (52 scored and 42 conceded in 40 matches, 1.3 and 1.05 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cucuta | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -13 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | LWWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 25 | 40 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.04 / 1.84 | 1.3 / 1.05 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.84 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.8 | 56.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cucuta 51.8 versus Santa Fe 56.8, a gap of 5.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Santa Fe's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards Santa Fe at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Santa Fe's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cucuta or Santa Fe?
Santa Fe, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 34% Cucuta, 27% the draw and 40% Santa Fe.
When and where is Cucuta vs Santa Fe being played?
4 November 2026 at Estadio General Santander, kick-off 23:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cucuta and Santa Fe?
Santa Fe 5-0 Cucuta on 19 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Cucuta and Santa Fe?
Cucuta have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Santa Fe 7 from theirs (LWWLD). Most recently Cucuta took a 0-2 defeat at home to Águilas Doradas and Santa Fe a 0-2 defeat away at Atletico Nacional.
How many goals are expected in Cucuta vs Santa Fe?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.00 for Cucuta and 0.80 for Santa Fe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.