Millonarios vs America de Cali: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Millonarios the pick at 45% for Millonarios vs America de Cali. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
America de Cali travel to Millonarios on 5 November 2026. Millonarios are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera A is listed as Millonarios - America de Cali. Kick-off is 01:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Millonarios: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 32 conceded in 30 matches, 1.53 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +8.
America de Cali: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (51 scored and 30 conceded in 36 matches, 1.42 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Millonarios | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +8 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDDD | WWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 11 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 30 | 36 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.53 / 1.07 | 1.42 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.6 | 1.81 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.3 | 60.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Millonarios 50.3 versus America de Cali 60.8, a gap of 10.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Millonarios' way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Millonarios at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Millonarios or America de Cali?
Millonarios, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Millonarios, 27% the draw and 28% America de Cali.
When and where is Millonarios vs America de Cali being played?
5 November 2026, kick-off 01:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Millonarios and America de Cali?
America de Cali 3-1 Millonarios on 20 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Millonarios and America de Cali?
Millonarios have taken 7 points from their last five (DWDDD), America de Cali 10 from theirs (WWWDL). Most recently Millonarios took a 1-1 draw at home to Once Caldas and America de Cali a 2-1 win at home to Fortaleza FC.
How many goals are expected in Millonarios vs America de Cali?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.60 for Millonarios and 1.80 for America de Cali. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.