Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Deportes Tolima the pick at 45% for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Deportivo Pereira face Deportes Tolima on 3 November 2026 at Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal. Deportes Tolima are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This clausura 17 fixture in Primera A is listed as Deportivo Pereira - Deportes Tolima. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Deportivo Pereira: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 34 conceded in 24 matches, 0.79 and 1.42 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -17.
Deportes Tolima: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two draws before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (51 scored and 44 conceded in 42 matches, 1.21 and 1.05 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Deportivo Pereira | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -17 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDD | LLLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 2 | 3 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 42 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.79 / 1.42 | 1.21 / 1.05 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.92 | 1.43 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.8 | 34.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 45% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Deportivo Pereira 50.8 versus Deportes Tolima 34.2, a gap of 16.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Deportes Tolima's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Deportes Tolima at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Deportivo Pereira's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo Pereira or Deportes Tolima?
Deportes Tolima, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 25% Deportivo Pereira, 30% the draw and 45% Deportes Tolima.
When and where is Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima being played?
3 November 2026 at Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima?
Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pereira on 18 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pereira have taken 9 points from their last five (WDWDD), Deportes Tolima 2 from theirs (LLLDD). Most recently Deportivo Pereira took a 1-0 win at home to Jaguares and Deportes Tolima a 0-1 defeat at home to Deportivo Pasto.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.80 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.