Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Alianza Valledupar the pick at 39% for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Alianza Valledupar host Llaneros on 9 November 2026 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. Alianza Valledupar are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This clausura 18 fixture in Primera A is listed as Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros. Kick-off is 01:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Alianza Valledupar: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 39 conceded in 27 matches, 0.74 and 1.44 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -14.
Llaneros: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 28 conceded in 25 matches, 0.96 and 1.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Alianza Valledupar | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -14 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWD | WLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 5 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 27 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.74 / 1.44 | 0.96 / 1.12 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.89 | 1.2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.8 | 44.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 33% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Alianza Valledupar's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Alianza Valledupar at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Llaneros' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Alianza Valledupar's way, especially at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Alianza Valledupar or Llaneros?
Alianza Valledupar, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Alianza Valledupar, 27% the draw and 33% Llaneros.
When and where is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros being played?
9 November 2026 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar, kick-off 01:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros?
Llaneros 0-0 Alianza Valledupar on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros?
Alianza Valledupar have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWWD), Llaneros 6 from theirs (WLLWL). Most recently Alianza Valledupar took a 1-2 defeat away at Independiente Medellin and Llaneros a 3-2 win at home to Junior.
How many goals are expected in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.60 for Alianza Valledupar and 1.40 for Llaneros. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.