Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira match summary and prediction — Primera A
Our model makes Atletico Nacional the pick at 78% for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Atletico Nacional face Deportivo Pereira on 7 November 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 78%. This clausura 18 fixture in Primera A is listed as Atletico Nacional - Deportivo Pereira. Kick-off is 23:10 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Atletico Nacional: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (57 scored and 25 conceded in 30 matches, 1.9 and 0.83 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +20.
Deportivo Pereira: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 34 conceded in 24 matches, 0.79 and 1.42 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -17.
Side by side
| Statistic | Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 20th |
| Goal difference | +20 | -17 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWL | WDWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 3 | 5 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 30 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.9 / 0.83 | 0.79 / 1.42 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.23 | 0.92 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.0 | 50.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 78% | 7% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Atletico Nacional 70.0 versus Deportivo Pereira 50.8, a gap of 19.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 19 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Atletico Nacional's way at 76%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Atletico Nacional at 78%, a gap of 62 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Atletico Nacional's way, especially at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atletico Nacional or Deportivo Pereira?
Atletico Nacional, with an implied win probability of roughly 78%. The full split is 78% Atletico Nacional, 16% the draw and 7% Deportivo Pereira.
When and where is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira being played?
7 November 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, kick-off 23:10 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pereira?
Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Atletico Nacional on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pereira?
Atletico Nacional have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWWL), Deportivo Pereira 9 from theirs (WDWDD). Most recently Atletico Nacional took a 1-1 draw away at Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pereira a 1-0 win at home to Jaguares.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.80 for Atletico Nacional and 0.80 for Deportivo Pereira. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.