Cucuta vs Jaguares match summary and prediction — Primera A
Our model makes Cucuta the pick at 48% for Cucuta vs Jaguares. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cucuta face Jaguares on 12 November 2026 at Estadio General Santander. Cucuta are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This clausura 19 fixture in Primera A is listed as Cucuta - Jaguares. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cucuta: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 46 conceded in 26 matches, 1.04 and 1.77 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.8 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -13.
Jaguares: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 46 conceded in 27 matches, 0.89 and 1.7 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -13.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cucuta | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -13 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWW | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 3 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.04 / 1.77 | 0.89 / 1.7 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.8 | 31.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cucuta 51.8 versus Jaguares 31.8, a gap of 20.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Cucuta's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Cucuta at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cucuta's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cucuta's way, especially at Estadio General Santander.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cucuta or Jaguares?
Cucuta, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Cucuta, 27% the draw and 25% Jaguares.
When and where is Cucuta vs Jaguares being played?
12 November 2026 at Estadio General Santander, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cucuta and Jaguares?
Jaguares 2-0 Cucuta on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Cucuta and Jaguares?
Cucuta have taken 9 points from their last five (WLLWW), Jaguares 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently Cucuta took a 1-0 win at home to Santa Fe and Jaguares a 0-2 defeat away at Deportivo Pasto.
How many goals are expected in Cucuta vs Jaguares?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.00 for Cucuta and 0.80 for Jaguares. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.