Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Deportivo Cali face Deportes Tolima on 12 November 2026 at Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira. Deportivo Cali are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This clausura 19 fixture in Primera A is listed as Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Deportivo Cali: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 18 conceded in 22 matches, 1.14 and 0.82 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
Deportes Tolima: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (54 scored and 45 conceded in 43 matches, 1.26 and 1.05 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Deportivo Cali | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDWD | WLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 1 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 43 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 0.82 | 1.26 / 1.05 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.55 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.0 | 40.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Deportivo Cali 56.0 versus Deportes Tolima 40.8, a gap of 15.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Cali's way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. Deportivo Cali is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Deportivo Cali's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Deportivo Cali's way, especially at Estadio Deportivo Cali.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo Cali or Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Cali, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Deportivo Cali, 29% the draw and 33% Deportes Tolima.
When and where is Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima being played?
12 November 2026 at Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima?
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Cali have taken 9 points from their last five (DWDWD), Deportes Tolima 4 from theirs (WLLLD). Most recently Deportivo Cali took a 0-0 draw away at America de Cali and Deportes Tolima a 3-1 win away at Deportivo Pereira.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Deportivo Cali and 1.20 for Deportes Tolima. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.