Deportivo Pasto vs Junior — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Deportivo Pasto and Junior on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Deportivo Pasto face Junior on 12 November 2026 at Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto. Junior are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This clausura 19 fixture in Primera A is listed as Deportivo Pasto - Junior. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Deportivo Pasto: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 38 conceded in 27 matches, 1.15 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +4.
Junior: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 45 conceded in 35 matches, 1.4 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Deportivo Pasto | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLL | LDWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 27 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.15 / 1.41 | 1.4 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.37 | 1.51 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.0 | 46.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 36% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Pasto's way at 47%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Junior is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo Pasto or Junior?
Junior, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 33% Deportivo Pasto, 32% the draw and 36% Junior.
When and where is Deportivo Pasto vs Junior being played?
12 November 2026 at Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Deportivo Pasto and Junior?
Junior 4-3 Deportivo Pasto on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Deportivo Pasto and Junior?
Deportivo Pasto have taken 6 points from their last five (WLWLL), Junior 6 from theirs (LDWDD). Most recently Deportivo Pasto took a 2-0 win at home to Jaguares and Junior a 2-3 defeat away at Llaneros.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for Deportivo Pasto and 1.40 for Junior. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.