Inter vs Udinese: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Inter the pick at 72% for Inter vs Udinese. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Udinese travel to Inter on 14 September 2026. Inter are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 72%. This matchday 4 fixture in Serie A is listed as Inter - Udinese. Kick-off is 18:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Inter: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (94 scored and 40 conceded in 45 matches, 2.09 and 0.89 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +5.
Udinese: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 29 conceded in 24 matches, 1.21 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Inter | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 11th |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 5 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 45 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.09 / 0.89 | 1.21 / 1.21 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.09 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.2 | 38.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 72% | 5% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 5) | 4 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 5): Inter four wins, Udinese one win, none draws — an edge to Inter.
- Most recent meeting: Inter 2-1 Udinese on 30 March 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.6 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in four of the five — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Inter 56.2 versus Udinese 38.3, a gap of 17.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 37%.
- First goal: Leans Inter's way at 75%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Inter at 72%, a gap of 48 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Inter or Udinese?
Inter, with an implied win probability of roughly 72%. The full split is 72% Inter, 23% the draw and 5% Udinese.
When and where is Inter vs Udinese being played?
14 September 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Inter and Udinese?
Inter 2-1 Udinese on 30 March 2025.
What is the recent form of Inter and Udinese?
Inter have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Udinese 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Inter took a 1-2 defeat away at Real Madrid and Udinese a 1-2 defeat at home to Lazio.
How many goals are expected in Inter vs Udinese?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.60 for Inter and 1.80 for Udinese. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 37%, so its call is no.