Como vs Sassuolo: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Como the pick at 73% for Como vs Sassuolo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Como host Sassuolo on 24 October 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Como are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 73%. This matchday 8 fixture in Serie A is listed as Como - Sassuolo. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Como: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (47 scored and 23 conceded in 27 matches, 1.74 and 0.85 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.6 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +5.
Sassuolo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 31 conceded in 23 matches, 1.22 and 1.35 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Como | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDL | LDLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 27 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.74 / 0.85 | 1.22 / 1.35 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.85 | 1.26 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.6 | 41.2 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 10 |
| Model win probability | 73% | 12% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Como 59.6 versus Sassuolo 41.2, a gap of 18.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Como's way at 73%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Como at 73%, a gap of 58 percentage points to the next outcome. Como's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Como's way, especially at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Como or Sassuolo?
Como, with an implied win probability of roughly 73%. The full split is 73% Como, 15% the draw and 12% Sassuolo.
When and where is Como vs Sassuolo being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Como and Sassuolo?
Sassuolo 2-1 Como on 17 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Como and Sassuolo?
Como have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLDL), Sassuolo 5 from theirs (LDLWD). Most recently Como took a 4-1 win at home to Manchester United and Sassuolo a 2-4 defeat away at Frosinone.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Sassuolo?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 3.40 for Como and 1.60 for Sassuolo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Como and ten for Sassuolo at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.