Como vs Venezia match summary and prediction — Serie A
Our model makes Como the pick at 68% for Como vs Venezia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Venezia travel to Como on 1 November 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Como are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 68%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie A is listed as Como - Venezia. Kick-off is 11:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Como: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (47 scored and 23 conceded in 27 matches, 1.74 and 0.85 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +9.
Venezia: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 16 conceded in 18 matches, 2.28 and 0.89 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -13.
Side by side
| Statistic | Como | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 20th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 6 | 2 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 27 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.74 / 0.85 | 2.28 / 0.89 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.85 | 2.28 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.6 | 31.8 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 12 |
| Model win probability | 68% | 12% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Como none wins, Venezia none wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Como 1-1 Venezia on 08 March 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Como 60.6 versus Venezia 31.8, a gap of 28.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 16 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Como's way at 70%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Como at 68%, a gap of 48 percentage points to the next outcome. Como's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Como's way, especially at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Como or Venezia?
Como, with an implied win probability of roughly 68%. The full split is 68% Como, 20% the draw and 12% Venezia.
When and where is Como vs Venezia being played?
1 November 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, kick-off 11:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Como and Venezia?
Como 1-1 Venezia on 08 March 2025.
What is the recent form of Como and Venezia?
Como have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Venezia 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently Como took a 3-1 win away at Torino and Venezia a 0-2 defeat at home to Inter.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Venezia?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.80 for Como and 1.00 for Venezia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Como and twelve for Venezia at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.