Juventus vs Napoli: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Juventus the pick at 50% for Juventus vs Napoli. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Juventus host Napoli on 1 November 2026 at Allianz Stadium, Turin. Juventus are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie A is listed as Juventus - Napoli. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Juventus: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (71 scored and 48 conceded in 41 matches, 1.73 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +1.
Napoli: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (55 scored and 49 conceded in 40 matches, 1.38 and 1.23 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Juventus | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLW | WDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 12 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 41 | 40 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.73 / 1.17 | 1.38 / 1.23 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.68 | 1.7 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 53.2 |
| Players unavailable | 18 | 14 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 27% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 2 | 5 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Juventus two wins, Napoli five wins, one draw — an edge to Napoli.
- Most recent meeting: Juventus 3-0 Napoli on 25 January 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in four of the eight — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Juventus 48.6 versus Napoli 53.2, a gap of 4.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: Juventus carry the heavier absentee list, 18 players to 14.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Juventus' way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Juventus at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Juventus's way, especially at Allianz Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Juventus or Napoli?
Juventus, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Juventus, 23% the draw and 27% Napoli.
When and where is Juventus vs Napoli being played?
1 November 2026 at Allianz Stadium, Turin, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Juventus and Napoli?
Juventus 3-0 Napoli on 25 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Juventus and Napoli?
Juventus have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDLW), Napoli 7 from theirs (WDWLL). Most recently Juventus took a 0-2 defeat away at Genoa and Napoli a 4-1 win away at Monza.
How many goals are expected in Juventus vs Napoli?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.20 for Juventus and 2.00 for Napoli. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 18 players unavailable for Juventus and 14 for Napoli at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.