Udinese vs AS Roma: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes AS Roma the pick at 63% for Udinese vs AS Roma. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Udinese face AS Roma on 31 October 2026 at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. AS Roma are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie A is listed as Udinese - AS Roma. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Udinese: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 29 conceded in 24 matches, 1.21 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -9.
AS Roma: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (52 scored and 30 conceded in 31 matches, 1.68 and 0.97 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Udinese | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -9 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLD | WDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 8 | 16 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 24 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.21 / 1.21 | 1.68 / 0.97 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.77 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.1 | 58.8 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 17% | 63% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 2 | 6 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Udinese two wins, AS Roma six wins, none draws — an edge to AS Roma.
- Most recent meeting: Udinese 1-0 AS Roma on 02 February 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.88 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the eight — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Udinese 26.1 versus AS Roma 58.8, a gap of 32.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans AS Roma's way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards AS Roma at 63%, a gap of 44 percentage points to the next outcome. AS Roma's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Udinese or AS Roma?
AS Roma, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 17% Udinese, 19% the draw and 63% AS Roma.
When and where is Udinese vs AS Roma being played?
31 October 2026 at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Udinese and AS Roma?
Udinese 1-0 AS Roma on 02 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Udinese and AS Roma?
Udinese have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLLD), AS Roma 10 from theirs (WDWWL). Most recently Udinese took a 0-0 draw away at Parma and AS Roma a 4-2 win at home to Cagliari.
How many goals are expected in Udinese vs AS Roma?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 0.80 for Udinese and 2.40 for AS Roma. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Udinese and eight for AS Roma at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.