Fiorentina vs Juventus match summary and prediction — Serie A
Fiorentina host Juventus with a season still short of where it should be — 16th in Serie A and searching for consistency. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
Match summary
Fiorentina host Juventus on 8 November 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Fiorentina are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 11 fixture in Serie A is listed as Fiorentina - Juventus. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Fiorentina: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 13 conceded in seven matches, 2.29 and 1.86 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -8. For a club of Fiorentina's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Juventus: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 1.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Fiorentina | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -8 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLL | WLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 11 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.29 / 1.86 | 1.29 / 1.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.3 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 1 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 35% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 2 | 3 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Fiorentina two wins, Juventus three wins, three draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina on 17 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the eight — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Fiorentina 36.3 versus Juventus 49.1, a gap of 12.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Fiorentina are 16th with a goal difference of -8 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Juventus' way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Fiorentina is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Juventus' stronger recent metrics back it, the goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Fiorentina's way, especially at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fiorentina or Juventus?
Fiorentina, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Fiorentina, 27% the draw and 35% Juventus.
When and where is Fiorentina vs Juventus being played?
8 November 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fiorentina and Juventus?
Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Juventus?
Fiorentina have taken 4 points from their last five (WDLLL), Juventus 7 from theirs (WLWDL). Most recently Fiorentina took a 4-2 win away at Sassuolo and Juventus a 2-0 win at home to Napoli.
How many goals are expected in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.20 for Fiorentina and 1.20 for Juventus. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists one player unavailable for Fiorentina and no for Juventus at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.