Torino vs Lecce: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Torino the pick at 47% for Torino vs Lecce. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Torino face Lecce on 7 November 2026 at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin. Torino are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 11 fixture in Serie A is listed as Torino - Lecce. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Torino: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.0 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Lecce: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 12 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.5 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Torino | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 6 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.83 | 1.33 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.5 | 32.5 |
| Players unavailable | 1 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 26% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 6) | 5 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 6): Torino five wins, Lecce none wins, one draw — an edge to Torino.
- Most recent meeting: Torino 1-0 Lecce on 01 February 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.17 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the six — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Torino 54.5 versus Lecce 32.5, a gap of 22.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Torino's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Torino at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Torino's way, especially at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Torino or Lecce?
Torino, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Torino, 26% the draw and 26% Lecce.
When and where is Torino vs Lecce being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Torino and Lecce?
Torino 1-0 Lecce on 01 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Torino and Lecce?
Torino have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Lecce 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently Torino took a 0-2 defeat away at Frosinone and Lecce a 1-2 defeat at home to Genoa.
How many goals are expected in Torino vs Lecce?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for Torino and 1.60 for Lecce. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists one player unavailable for Torino and no for Lecce at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.