Venezia vs Udinese: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Venezia the pick at 45% for Venezia vs Udinese. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Venezia host Udinese on 6 November 2026 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice. Venezia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 11 fixture in Serie A is listed as Venezia - Udinese. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Venezia: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 13 conceded in six matches, 0.83 and 2.17 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.5 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -14.
Udinese: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 18 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 2.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.3 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Venezia | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 19th |
| Goal difference | -14 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWL | LDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 7 | 3 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.83 / 2.17 | 1.14 / 2.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.0 | 0.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.5 | 25.3 |
| Players unavailable | 1 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 28% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Venezia one win, Udinese two wins, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Udinese 2-1 Venezia on 02 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.33 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Venezia 31.5 versus Udinese 25.3, a gap of 6.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Venezia's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Venezia at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Venezia's way, especially at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Venezia or Udinese?
Venezia, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Venezia, 27% the draw and 28% Udinese.
When and where is Venezia vs Udinese being played?
6 November 2026 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Venezia and Udinese?
Udinese 2-1 Venezia on 02 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Venezia and Udinese?
Venezia have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLWL), Udinese 1 from theirs (LDLLL). Most recently Venezia took a 0-1 defeat away at Como and Udinese a 2-5 defeat at home to AS Roma.
How many goals are expected in Venezia vs Udinese?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.80 for Venezia and 1.00 for Udinese. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists one player unavailable for Venezia and no for Udinese at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.