Club Queretaro vs Monterrey match summary and prediction — Liga MX
Our model makes Monterrey the pick at 46% for Club Queretaro vs Monterrey. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Club Queretaro face Monterrey on 14 November 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro. Monterrey are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This apertura 7 fixture in Liga MX is listed as Club Queretaro - Monterrey. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Club Queretaro: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 18 conceded in ten matches, 0.9 and 1.8 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -5.
Monterrey: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 26 conceded in 17 matches, 1.59 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Club Queretaro | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | LDLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 15 | 9 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 10 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.59 / 1.53 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.8 | 48.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 46% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Club Queretaro 23.8 versus Monterrey 48.6, a gap of 24.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Monterrey's way at 52%.
The call
The model tilts to Monterrey at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Club Queretaro or Monterrey?
Monterrey, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 30% Club Queretaro, 24% the draw and 46% Monterrey.
When and where is Club Queretaro vs Monterrey being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Club Queretaro and Monterrey?
Monterrey 4-0 Club Queretaro on 05 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Club Queretaro and Monterrey?
Club Queretaro have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Monterrey 7 from theirs (LDLWW). Most recently Club Queretaro took a 0-2 defeat at home to Puebla and Monterrey a 0-4 defeat away at Toluca.
How many goals are expected in Club Queretaro vs Monterrey?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.80 for Club Queretaro and 1.40 for Monterrey. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.