Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 50% for Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Juarez travel to Santos Laguna on 14 September 2026 at Estadio Corona. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 50%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This apertura 8 fixture in Liga MX is listed as Santos Laguna - FC Juarez. Kick-off is 01:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Santos Laguna: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 26 conceded in twelve matches, 1.17 and 2.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.3 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -8.
FC Juarez: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 28 conceded in 15 matches, 1.53 and 1.87 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 20.5 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -18.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Santos Laguna | FC Juarez |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -18 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLW | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 2 / 17 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 12 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.17 / 2.17 | 1.53 / 1.87 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.92 | 1.2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.3 | 20.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Santos Laguna 26.3 versus FC Juarez 20.5, a gap of 5.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Santos Laguna's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Santos Laguna or FC Juarez?
Neither side. Our model splits it 29% Santos Laguna, 50% the draw and 21% FC Juarez, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez being played?
14 September 2026 at Estadio Corona, kick-off 01:00 UTC.
Have Santos Laguna and FC Juarez met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Santos Laguna and FC Juarez?
Santos Laguna have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLLW), FC Juarez 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Santos Laguna took a 0-1 defeat away at Cruz Azul and FC Juarez a 0-2 defeat at home to CF Pachuca.
How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.80 for Santos Laguna and 2.00 for FC Juarez. It rates over 2.5 goals at 24%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.