Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Cruz Azul the pick at 53% for Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Club Queretaro face Cruz Azul on 26 October 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro. Cruz Azul are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This apertura 14 fixture in Liga MX is listed as Club Queretaro - Cruz Azul. Kick-off is 01:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Club Queretaro: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.0 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +1.
Cruz Azul: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 17 conceded in 14 matches, 2.36 and 1.21 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.4 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Club Queretaro | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWD | WWDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 13 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.43 | 2.36 / 1.21 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.43 | 2.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 53.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 53% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Club Queretaro 48.6 versus Cruz Azul 53.4, a gap of 4.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Cruz Azul's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Cruz Azul at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cruz Azul's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Club Queretaro or Cruz Azul?
Cruz Azul, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 22% Club Queretaro, 24% the draw and 53% Cruz Azul.
When and where is Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul being played?
26 October 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro, kick-off 01:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Club Queretaro and Cruz Azul?
Club Queretaro 1-1 Cruz Azul on 22 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Club Queretaro and Cruz Azul?
Club Queretaro have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWWD), Cruz Azul 9 from theirs (WWDDD). Most recently Club Queretaro took a 1-2 defeat away at Atletico San Luis and Cruz Azul a 2-1 win away at CF Pachuca.
How many goals are expected in Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.00 for Club Queretaro and 2.60 for Cruz Azul. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.